6.18.2024

The Achilles Trap: Saddam Hussein, the C.I.A., And The Origins Of America's Invasion of Iraq, Coll - B+

                  Saddam was a principal in the 1968 coup that brought the Baath Party to power. A decade later, he was president. His goal was to modernize every aspect of the country and create a nuclear capability. In 1980, he attacked his Shiite neighbor Iran because of their religious differences and his belief that the new revolutionary government was weak. "The Iran-Iraq War was a fiasco of command incompetence and martyr's blood that would claim about one million casualties over the next eight years." Fearing a fundamentalist victory, the Reagan administration authorized CIA assistance to Iraq. 

                 Throughout the 1980's, Saddam encouraged the creation of a nuclear weapons capability under the supervision of Jafar Dhia, a western educated scientist. Saddam and Jafar decided on a uranium enrichment program modeled on the Manhattan Project. Saddam  feared that the US was helping Iran in order to prolong a war between two US enemies. The disclosure of the US's use of Israel as conveyor of American arms to Iran in the Iran-Contra affair convinced Saddam that the US, Israel, and Iran were in league against him.  

                The regime then turned on the Kurds, razing villages, gassing indiscriminately, and killing as many as 182,000. The Reagan administration continued its support of Saddam. The summer of 1988 finally saw the end of the war that had cost Iraq a fortune in blood and treasure, all without any positive results. The fall of the Berlin Wall heightened Saddam's anxieties about the US, but the Bush administration assured him of its support. Saddam felt that he had protected the Gulf states from Iran and expected that they should forgive his debts in recognition of his service to the Arab nations. Kuwait's refusal incensed him. He invaded in late July, 1991. 

                  The invasion drew immediate international condemnation. The US began to plan for war. President Bush superbly managed a vast allied effort with the approval of the US congress and the American people. The initial US onslaught was aerial and a complete success, destroying the Iraqi air forces,  ground forces, and infrastructure. The Iraqis retreated from Kuwait as the coalition ground forces attacked. It was an unmitigated slaughter. After a hundred hour war, the US declared Kuwait liberated and the war won.  In Iraq, a rebellion broke out that was particularly threatening in the southern Shia communities. The Republican Guards responded with barbaric brutality. The US chose to not intervene, although it was hoping the rebellion would topple Hussein. The US imposed economic sanctions until there was a full disclosure of the regime's nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. The Iraqi's destroyed most of their WMD, but failed to document it and were later unable to prove it to inspectors.  UN inspectors confirmed that they had been working on a nuclear bomb.

                 Bill Clinton inherited America's 'half-war' with its daily tensions around the US no-fly zone in northern Iraq.  It "was a Bush hangover he wished to avoid." The 1990's ground on with the same repeating themes: the CIA unable to penetrate or topple the regime, Saddam enriching himself and his allies despite the painful sanctions, Saddam baiting and annoying Washington, and the no-fly zone requiring constant US military activity.  "Saddam Hussein was becoming the new Fidel Castro, entrenched in power and feeding off America's ineffectual enmity." Pressure began to build on the US to reduce the sanctions as death and disease wreaked havoc on the Iraqi people. The UN believed that by 1997 all of Iraq's WMD and long-range missiles had been discovered and dismantled. A year later, Saddam banished all inspections. The US began bombing, and the Republicans clamored for Saddam's overthrow.  In office, the new Bush administration made no change in Iraq policy.

               On September 12th 2001, Saddam blamed the US for provoking the attack on itself. The Bush administration knew that al-Qaeda was responsible, but believed that Iraq was also involved. In early 2002, Bush made his 'axis of evil' speech by which time half of the country believed Iraq had been involved in 9/11. By the summer, the US acknowledged to the British that it would go to war with Saddam in 2003. Bush spoke at the UN and and stated that we "know" Iraq has WMD's. Tony Blair published a dossier affirming that Iraq had biological and chemical weapons, and had acquired uranium from Africa. The momentum was building. The US Congress authorized war against Iraq. Saddam let the UN inspectors back in and they found nothing. The problem was that many people thought Iraq was lying. Bush later remembered concluding that Saddam wouldn't subject himself to war if he didn't have WMD. In February of 2003, Colin Powell spoke at the UN asserting that Iraq had WMD based on "invented, misinterpreted, and exaggerated intelligence." On March 7, UN inspectors repudiated all of America's positions on Iraq's weapons. Nonetheless, George W. Bush and Tony Blair went to war on March 17th.

                    Bush had "careered toward an unnecessary war that he and his war cabinet marketed through exaggerations of available evidence and unabashed fearmongering, persuaded as they were by instinct and flawed intelligence that Saddam's continuation in power posed an unacceptable threat." The invasion was a success; the occupation was a debacle.

                   The author is a great researcher and writer. His two multi-award winning books on Afghanistan were extraordinary. As Saddam spent a decade and a half on the front pages, this seems just a bit less interesting.


                

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